League One — Scotland
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Palmerston Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.43) 1.32 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 26.1% 36.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.4%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Queen of the South 0 7.0% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQueen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack45%45%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Queen of the South Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%33%44%67%33%50%
Draws22%22%22%11%33%22%
Loses22%44%33%22%33%28%

Form: Queen of the South: WLWDWLLLWLWDWDLDWW • Hamilton Academical: WWLLDDWWWWLDWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Queen of the South Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
GF total14923161632
GF avg1.61.01.31.81.81.8
GA total9132261117
GA avg1.01.41.20.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQueen of the SouthHamilton Academical
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%61%78%56%
1.533%33%50%28%
2.511%17%33%6%
3.56%11%17%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQueen of the SouthHamilton Academical
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricQueen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricQueen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Wins14
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-00-4
Biggest losses1-44-01-24-0
Goals For4234
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricQueen of the SouthHamilton Academical
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hamilton Academical

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Betano
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Queen of the South = 1.34 (league 1.43), Hamilton Academical = 1.32 (league 1.37)

Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Queen of the South 0 7.0% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 36.2%

Vtot 27 , Vtod1