League One — Scotland
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • New Central Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.43) 2.16 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.5% 14.0% 81.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
22.1%
0 - 1
20.5%
0 - 3
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alloa Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kelty Hearts 0 9.5% 20.5% 22.1% 15.9% 8.6% 3.7%
1 1.9% 4.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack46%38%
Defense0%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kelty Hearts Alloa Athletic
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins0%30%16%40%44%42%
Draws11%20%16%40%11%26%
Loses89%50%68%20%44%32%

Form: Kelty Hearts: LWLLLLWLLDLLDDLLLLW • Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWDDWWDDWLLD

League goals

Metric Kelty Hearts Alloa Athletic
HATHAT
GF total41418121022
GF avg0.41.40.91.21.11.2
GA total2418426612
GA avg2.71.82.20.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%89%58%53%
1.532%74%32%11%
2.50%42%16%0%
3.50%11%11%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
HATHAT
Clean sheets022549
Failed to score617448

Penalties

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
Wins13
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-00-22-1
Goals For2244
Goals Against5322

Model comparison

MetricKelty HeartsAlloa Athletic
Form38%63%
Att55%45%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h20%80%
Goals17%83%
Total26.7%73.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alloa Athletic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away1.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kelty Hearts = 0.20 (league 1.43), Alloa Athletic = 2.16 (league 1.38)

Alloa Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kelty Hearts 0 9.5% 20.5% 22.1% 15.9% 8.6% 3.7%
1 1.9% 4.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.5% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 81.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1