League One — Scotland
Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 19:45 • Recreation Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.41) 0.50 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 32.7% 16.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.3%
0 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Montrose
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 20.1% 9.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.3% 11.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlloa AthleticMontrose
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack31%63%
Defense75%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alloa Athletic Montrose
HATHAT
Played10102010919
Wins40%40%40%50%22%37%
Draws40%20%30%0%33%16%
Loses20%40%30%50%44%47%

Form: Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWDDWWDDWLLDD • Montrose: LLDLWWDWLLLLLDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Alloa Athletic Montrose
HATHAT
GF total121123121022
GF avg1.21.11.21.21.11.2
GA total6713191231
GA avg0.60.70.71.91.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlloa AthleticMontrose
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%55%63%84%
1.530%10%37%42%
2.515%0%16%26%
3.510%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlloa AthleticMontrose
HATHAT
Clean sheets549123
Failed to score448437

Penalties

MetricAlloa AthleticMontrose
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAlloa AthleticMontrose
Wins33
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-43-1
Goals For4433
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricAlloa AthleticMontrose
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Alloa Athletic or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alloa Athletic = 1.11 (league 1.41), Montrose = 0.50 (league 1.33)

Montrose
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 20.1% 9.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.3% 11.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 16.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1