League One — Scotland
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Links Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.41) 1.76 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.1% 22.5% 39.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Kelty Hearts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montrose 0 3.3% 5.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.4% 9.6% 8.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.5% 4.4% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontroseKelty Hearts
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack100%29%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montrose Kelty Hearts
HATHAT
Played121426141226
Wins50%21%35%0%25%12%
Draws8%36%23%36%25%31%
Loses42%43%42%64%50%58%

Form: Montrose: LLDLWWDWLLLLLDWWWLWLWDDLWD • Kelty Hearts: LWLLLLWLLDLLDDLLLLWDLLDDDD

League goals

Metric Montrose Kelty Hearts
HATHAT
GF total16183461622
GF avg1.31.31.30.41.30.8
GA total222446282250
GA avg1.81.71.82.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontroseKelty Hearts
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%88%62%85%
1.538%50%23%62%
2.519%27%0%35%
3.50%12%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontroseKelty Hearts
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score4379110

Penalties

MetricMontroseKelty Hearts
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricMontroseKelty Hearts
Wins31
Draws22
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-3—0-2
Biggest losses0-44-10-43-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricMontroseKelty Hearts
Form60%40%
Att80%20%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h62%38%
Goals75%25%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Montrose or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montrose = 1.66 (league 1.41), Kelty Hearts = 1.76 (league 1.33)

Kelty Hearts
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montrose 0 3.3% 5.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.4% 9.6% 8.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.5% 4.4% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.1% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 39.7%

vtt 6 , vtd1