League One — Scotland
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Ochilview Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.43) 0.77 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 20.2% 13.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Montrose
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack73%47%
Defense87%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stenhousemuir Montrose
HATHAT
Played121123111122
Wins50%45%48%45%27%36%
Draws42%27%35%9%27%18%
Loses8%27%17%45%45%45%

Form: Stenhousemuir: LWWDDWWLWWDDDLWDLWDWWWD • Montrose: LLDLWWDWLLLLLDWWWLWLWD

League goals

Metric Stenhousemuir Montrose
HATHAT
GF total211132131427
GF avg1.81.01.41.21.31.2
GA total9918201838
GA avg0.80.80.81.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStenhousemuirMontrose
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%52%68%86%
1.539%22%36%45%
2.517%4%18%27%
3.59%0%0%14%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511123
Failed to score257437

Penalties

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
Wins33
Draws31
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-00-44-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricStenhousemuirMontrose
Form61%39%
Att61%39%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Stenhousemuir or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 888Sport
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.83 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stenhousemuir = 2.02 (league 1.43), Montrose = 0.77 (league 1.35)

Montrose
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 6.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.5% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 13.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1