League One — Scotland
Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 15:00 • Recreation Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.47) 1.04 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.8% 26.6% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alloa Athletic 0 8.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.6% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.7% 9.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlloa AthleticHamilton Academical
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack77%46%
Defense38%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alloa Athletic Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%42%42%67%33%50%
Draws42%17%29%8%33%21%
Loses17%42%29%25%33%29%
Alloa AthleticWWWLLWLLWDDWWDDWLLDDWLDW
Hamilton AcademicalWWLLDDWWWWLDWLWDLWLWWDLW

League goals

Metric Alloa Athletic Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
GF total181432192039
GF avg1.51.21.31.61.71.6
GA total9112071724
GA avg0.80.90.80.61.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlloa AthleticHamilton Academical
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%63%75%54%
1.538%17%46%29%
2.517%4%29%8%
3.513%0%13%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlloa AthleticHamilton Academical
HATHAT
Clean sheets5497411
Failed to score448246

Penalties

MetricAlloa AthleticHamilton Academical
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlloa AthleticHamilton Academical
Wins34
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-11-24-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAlloa AthleticHamilton Academical
Form44%56%
Att63%38%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total44.0%56.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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