League One — Scotland
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:30 • Links Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.43) 1.61 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 25.0% 53.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Alloa Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montrose 0 8.1% 13.0% 10.4% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.3% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontroseAlloa Athletic
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack54%77%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montrose Alloa Athletic
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins46%20%32%50%43%46%
Draws15%33%25%36%14%25%
Loses38%47%43%14%43%29%

Form: Montrose: LLDLWWDWLLLLLDWWWLWLWDDLWDDL • Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWDDWWDDWLLDDWLDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Montrose Alloa Athletic
HATHAT
GF total171936231740
GF avg1.31.31.31.61.21.4
GA total232750101424
GA avg1.81.81.80.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontroseAlloa Athletic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%89%71%61%
1.536%50%43%18%
2.518%29%18%7%
3.50%11%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontroseAlloa Athletic
HATHAT
Clean sheets1236511
Failed to score437448

Penalties

MetricMontroseAlloa Athletic
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricMontroseAlloa Athletic
Wins34
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-44-10-23-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricMontroseAlloa Athletic
Form29%71%
Att41%59%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alloa Athletic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montrose = 0.91 (league 1.43), Alloa Athletic = 1.61 (league 1.34)

Alloa Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montrose 0 8.1% 13.0% 10.4% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.3% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 53.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1