League One — Scotland
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 • Ochilview Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.43) 0.88 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 23.0% 18.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 7.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack50%50%
Defense79%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stenhousemuir Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins53%44%48%50%33%42%
Draws40%38%39%13%33%23%
Loses7%19%13%38%33%35%

Form: Stenhousemuir: LWWDDWWLWWDDDLWDLWDWWWDDDWWDWWD • Hamilton Academical: WWLLDDWWWWLDWLWDLWLWWDLWLDLWLDL

League goals

Metric Stenhousemuir Hamilton Academical
HATHAT
GF total261743222547
GF avg1.71.11.41.41.71.5
GA total111324142236
GA avg0.70.80.80.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%52%74%61%
1.539%23%42%35%
2.513%3%26%13%
3.56%0%10%6%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
HATHAT
Clean sheets87157512
Failed to score257358

Penalties

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
Wins34
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-34-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricStenhousemuirHamilton Academical
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h36%64%
Goals17%83%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Stenhousemuir or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Betano
No1.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Stenhousemuir = 1.79 (league 1.43), Hamilton Academical = 0.88 (league 1.35)

Hamilton Academical
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stenhousemuir 0 7.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 18.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1