League One
— Scotland
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
MGM Timber Bayview Stadium
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.47)
1.37 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 27.8% | 59.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.2%
0 - 0
16.2%
0 - 2
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Inverness CT | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| East Fife | 0 | 16.2% | 22.2% | 15.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Inverness CT carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 201 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: East Fife +5.5, Inverness CT +3.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
East Fife
vs
Inverness CT
Elo gapInverness CT +201
Home / draw / away20% / 18% / 62%
Expected home share24%
Combined Elo3089.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3089.8
Elo home share
24%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | East Fife | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1426.9 | 1662.9 |
| Form Elo | 1414.1 | 1663.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498.6 | 1581.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1430.7 | 1730 |
| Defense Elo | 1393.3 | 1672.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.5 | +3.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. East Fife last-5 Elo change: +5.5; Inverness CT last-5 Elo change: +3.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | East Fife | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 11% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | East Fife | Inverness CT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 35% | 18% | 26% | 71% | 47% | 59% |
| Draws | 18% | 24% | 21% | 24% | 35% | 29% |
| Loses | 47% | 59% | 53% | 6% | 18% | 12% |
East FifeLLWWDWDLWDWDLWLWLLLLLLLWLLLLDDDLWL
Inverness CTWWLWWWWWLDWWWWDWLLDWWDWWDDWDWDDDWW
League goals
| Metric | East Fife | Inverness CT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 15 | 33 | 36 | 21 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 26 | 34 | 60 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | East Fife | Inverness CT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 88% | 91% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 44% | 44% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 26% | 24% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | East Fife | Inverness CT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | East Fife | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | East Fife | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | East Fife | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 9% | 91% |
| Total | 29.0% | 71.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.87 @ 1xBet
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away1.44 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Betano
📊
League standings
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