League Two — Scotland
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • The Ross Commercial Finance K Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.84 (league 1.56) 3.14 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 14.2% 23.7%
best score tips
3 - 3
4.5%
4 - 3
4.4%
3 - 2
4.3%
Dumbarton
0 1 2 3 4 5
East Kilbride 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9%
2 0.7% 2.2% 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 1.7%
3 0.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.5% 3.5% 2.2%
4 0.8% 2.7% 4.2% 4.4% 3.4% 2.1%
5 0.7% 2.0% 3.2% 3.3% 2.6% 1.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEast KilbrideDumbarton
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack70%55%
Defense75%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric East Kilbride Dumbarton
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%33%100%67%
Draws0%33%17%33%0%17%
Loses33%0%17%33%0%17%

Form: East Kilbride: LWWWWD • Dumbarton: WWDWLW

League goals

Metric East Kilbride Dumbarton
HATHAT
GF total96154913
GF avg3.02.02.51.33.02.2
GA total4484610
GA avg1.31.31.31.32.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEast KilbrideDumbarton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.567%50%67%50%
2.550%17%33%17%
3.517%0%17%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEast KilbrideDumbarton
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricEast KilbrideDumbarton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricEast KilbrideDumbarton
Wins42
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-32-13-4
Biggest losses1-3—1-2—
Goals For5324
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricEast KilbrideDumbarton
Form57%43%
Att56%44%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : East Kilbride or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ William Hill
Draw4.42 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): East Kilbride = 3.84 (league 1.56), Dumbarton = 3.14 (league 1.24)

Dumbarton
0 1 2 3 4 5
East Kilbride 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9%
2 0.7% 2.2% 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 1.7%
3 0.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.5% 3.5% 2.2%
4 0.8% 2.7% 4.2% 4.4% 3.4% 2.1%
5 0.7% 2.0% 3.2% 3.3% 2.6% 1.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1