League Two — Scotland
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Eco Gen Stadium at Stair Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.56) 1.37 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 28.0% 55.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.5%
0 - 0
14.2%
0 - 2
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Elgin City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stranraer 0 14.2% 19.5% 13.3% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.3% 11.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStranraerElgin City
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack15%30%
Defense55%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stranraer Elgin City
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%33%0%17%
Draws33%0%17%0%67%33%
Loses67%100%83%67%33%50%

Form: Stranraer: LLLDLL • Elgin City: LLDLDW

League goals

Metric Stranraer Elgin City
HATHAT
GF total213538
GF avg0.70.30.51.71.01.3
GA total5510549
GA avg1.71.71.71.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStranraerElgin City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%67%67%
1.50%50%50%33%
2.50%17%17%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStranraerElgin City
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricStranraerElgin City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricStranraerElgin City
Wins00
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-0—
Biggest losses0-23-12-43-2
Goals For1132
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricStranraerElgin City
Form17%83%
Att33%67%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Elgin City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stranraer = 0.58 (league 1.56), Elgin City = 1.37 (league 1.24)

Elgin City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stranraer 0 14.2% 19.5% 13.3% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.3% 11.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 55.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1