League Two — Scotland
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Marbill Coaches Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.52) 0.31 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.3% 25.7% 7.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.9%
2 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
Stranraer
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 17.1% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.9% 7.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDumbartonStranraer
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack83%25%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dumbarton Stranraer
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%0%0%0%
Draws33%25%29%50%0%29%
Loses33%0%14%50%100%71%

Form: Dumbarton: WWDWLWD • Stranraer: LLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Dumbarton Stranraer
HATHAT
GF total41014314
GF avg1.32.52.00.80.30.6
GA total47116511
GA avg1.31.81.61.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDumbartonStranraer
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%57%100%
1.557%43%0%43%
2.529%14%0%14%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDumbartonStranraer
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricDumbartonStranraer
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDumbartonStranraer
Wins20
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-4——
Biggest losses1-2—0-23-1
Goals For2411
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricDumbartonStranraer
Form80%20%
Att77%23%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h62%38%
Goals43%57%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Dumbarton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away4.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dumbarton = 1.46 (league 1.52), Stranraer = 0.31 (league 1.27)

Stranraer
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 17.1% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.9% 7.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 7.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1