League Two — Scotland
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Marbill Coaches Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.56) 3.38 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.5% 9.7% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.5%
0 - 2
8.5%
0 - 4
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 1.5% 5.0% 8.5% 9.5% 8.0% 5.4%
1 1.2% 4.2% 7.1% 7.9% 6.7% 4.5%
2 0.5% 1.7% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.9%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDumbartonSpartans
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack62%54%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dumbarton Spartans
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%60%44%40%100%67%
Draws25%40%33%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%22%60%0%33%

Form: Dumbarton: WWDWLWDLD • Spartans: WLWWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Dumbarton Spartans
HATHAT
GF total5121741115
GF avg1.32.41.90.82.81.7
GA total69156410
GA avg1.51.81.71.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDumbartonSpartans
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%89%67%
1.556%56%44%33%
2.522%11%33%11%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDumbartonSpartans
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricDumbartonSpartans
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDumbartonSpartans
Wins24
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-41-01-3
Biggest losses1-2—1-3—
Goals For2413
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricDumbartonSpartans
Form36%64%
Att53%47%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spartans

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.93 @ 1xBet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dumbarton = 0.83 (league 1.56), Spartans = 3.38 (league 1.24)

Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 1.5% 5.0% 8.5% 9.5% 8.0% 5.4%
1 1.2% 4.2% 7.1% 7.9% 6.7% 4.5%
2 0.5% 1.7% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.9%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.5% · Draw 9.7% · Away win 72.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1