League Two — Scotland
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • The Ross Commercial Finance K Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.51) 1.00 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.3% 19.8% 16.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.9%
1 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Elgin City
0 1 2 3 4 5
East Kilbride 0 4.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.2% 9.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEast KilbrideElgin City
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack85%62%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric East Kilbride Elgin City
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%40%0%22%
Draws25%40%33%0%75%33%
Loses25%20%22%60%25%44%

Form: East Kilbride: LWWWWDDLD • Elgin City: LLDLDWDLW

League goals

Metric East Kilbride Elgin City
HATHAT
GF total109199413
GF avg2.51.82.11.81.01.4
GA total59149514
GA avg1.31.81.61.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEast KilbrideElgin City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%78%78%
1.556%56%56%33%
2.533%22%11%33%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEast KilbrideElgin City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricEast KilbrideElgin City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricEast KilbrideElgin City
Wins41
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-33-0—
Biggest losses1-33-12-43-2
Goals For5332
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricEast KilbrideElgin City
Form43%57%
Att58%42%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : East Kilbride or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ William Hill
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away4.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): East Kilbride = 2.15 (league 1.51), Elgin City = 1.00 (league 1.29)

Elgin City
0 1 2 3 4 5
East Kilbride 0 4.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.2% 9.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1