League Two — Scotland
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Borough Briggs
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.52) 2.61 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.5% 18.2% 40.1%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.6%
2 - 3
5.7%
1 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Dumbarton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elgin City 0 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
1 1.6% 4.3% 5.5% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.6% 5.7% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.5% 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
4 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElgin CityDumbarton
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack82%64%
Defense27%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elgin City Dumbarton
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%17%33%33%50%42%
Draws0%50%25%17%33%25%
Loses50%33%42%50%17%33%

Form: Elgin City: LLDLDWDLWLWW • Dumbarton: WWDWLWDLDLLW

League goals

Metric Elgin City Dumbarton
HATHAT
GF total1171881321
GF avg1.81.21.51.32.21.8
GA total991891221
GA avg1.51.51.51.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElgin CityDumbarton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%100%
1.558%33%50%58%
2.517%33%17%17%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElgin CityDumbarton
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricElgin CityDumbarton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricElgin CityDumbarton
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-13-4
Biggest losses2-43-01-23-1
Goals For3324
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricElgin CityDumbarton
Form69%31%
Att56%44%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Elgin City or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Superbet
No2.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Elgin City = 2.37 (league 1.52), Dumbarton = 2.61 (league 1.27)

Dumbarton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elgin City 0 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
1 1.6% 4.3% 5.5% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.6% 5.7% 3.7% 1.9%
3 1.5% 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
4 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 40.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1