League Two — Scotland
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Marbill Coaches Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.51) 1.16 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 25.9% 29.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Forfar Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 7.3% 8.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.3% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDumbartonForfar Athletic
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack43%50%
Defense29%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dumbarton Forfar Athletic
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%43%38%50%14%31%
Draws17%29%23%33%29%31%
Loses50%29%38%17%57%38%

Form: Dumbarton: WWDWLWDLDLLWL • Forfar Athletic: WDWLLLWDLDLDW

League goals

Metric Dumbarton Forfar Athletic
HATHAT
GF total813219716
GF avg1.31.91.61.51.01.2
GA total9142361218
GA avg1.52.01.81.01.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDumbartonForfar Athletic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%100%69%62%
1.546%62%23%38%
2.515%15%15%23%
3.58%0%15%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDumbartonForfar Athletic
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricDumbartonForfar Athletic
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricDumbartonForfar Athletic
Wins21
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-44-20-4
Biggest losses1-23-12-35-0
Goals For2444
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricDumbartonForfar Athletic
Form44%56%
Att46%54%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h93%7%
Goals67%33%
Total58.2%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Dumbarton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.12 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dumbarton = 1.46 (league 1.51), Forfar Athletic = 1.16 (league 1.29)

Forfar Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 7.3% 8.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.3% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 29.9%

vtt 6 , vtd1