League Two — Scotland
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Eco Gen Stadium at Stair Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.51) 2.47 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.9% 19.0% 45.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Dumbarton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stranraer 0 1.2% 2.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
1 2.3% 5.7% 7.1% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
2 2.3% 5.6% 7.0% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.2%
4 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStranraerDumbarton
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack63%50%
Defense63%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stranraer Dumbarton
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%50%38%38%38%38%
Draws25%13%19%13%25%19%
Loses50%38%44%50%38%44%

Form: Stranraer: LLLDLLDWLWWDLWWW • Dumbarton: WWDWLWDLDLLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Stranraer Dumbarton
HATHAT
GF total101222111627
GF avg1.31.51.41.42.01.7
GA total13821131831
GA avg1.61.01.31.62.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStranraerDumbarton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%88%94%94%
1.538%31%50%63%
2.525%13%19%25%
3.56%0%6%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStranraerDumbarton
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricStranraerDumbarton
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricStranraerDumbarton
Wins22
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-42-03-4
Biggest losses1-33-11-43-1
Goals For3424
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricStranraerDumbarton
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total57.2%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Stranraer or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stranraer = 1.98 (league 1.51), Dumbarton = 2.47 (league 1.29)

Dumbarton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stranraer 0 1.2% 2.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
1 2.3% 5.7% 7.1% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
2 2.3% 5.6% 7.0% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.5% 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.2%
4 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 45.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1