League Two — Scotland
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Marbill Coaches Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.47) 1.83 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 21.5% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Stirling Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 2.4% 4.4% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.6% 8.3% 7.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.8% 5.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDumbartonStirling Albion
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack47%40%
Defense27%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dumbarton Stirling Albion
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%33%35%11%38%24%
Draws13%33%24%44%13%29%
Loses50%33%41%44%50%47%

Form: Dumbarton: WWDWLWDLDLLWLLLWD • Stirling Albion: WDLLWLWLDDLLLDLDW

League goals

Metric Dumbarton Stirling Albion
HATHAT
GF total11172891221
GF avg1.41.91.61.01.51.2
GA total131932161632
GA avg1.62.11.91.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDumbartonStirling Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%94%71%88%
1.547%59%47%47%
2.518%24%6%35%
3.56%12%0%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDumbartonStirling Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score011325

Penalties

MetricDumbartonStirling Albion
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricDumbartonStirling Albion
Wins21
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-41-01-3
Biggest losses1-43-10-43-0
Goals For2423
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricDumbartonStirling Albion
Form44%56%
Att54%46%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Dumbarton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dumbarton = 1.91 (league 1.47), Stirling Albion = 1.83 (league 1.31)

Stirling Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 2.4% 4.4% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.6% 8.3% 7.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.8% 5.0% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 36.6%

vtt 18 , vtd1