League Two — Scotland
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Alpha Projects Stadium @ Station Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.52) 1.15 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 27.3% 32.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.3%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Elgin City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forfar Athletic 0 8.7% 10.0% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricForfar AthleticElgin City
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack73%33%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Forfar Athletic Elgin City
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%22%29%44%13%29%
Draws25%22%24%11%50%29%
Loses38%56%47%44%38%41%

Form: Forfar Athletic: WDWLLLWDLDLDWWLLL • Elgin City: LLDLDWDLWLWWWDDLL

League goals

Metric Forfar Athletic Elgin City
HATHAT
GF total11122315823
GF avg1.41.31.41.71.01.4
GA total121628121123
GA avg1.51.81.61.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineForfar AthleticElgin City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%76%76%
1.529%47%47%29%
2.518%35%12%24%
3.518%6%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricForfar AthleticElgin City
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricForfar AthleticElgin City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricForfar AthleticElgin City
Wins23
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-35-02-43-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricForfar AthleticElgin City
Form55%45%
Att69%31%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Elgin City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Forfar Athletic = 1.29 (league 1.52), Elgin City = 1.15 (league 1.31)

Elgin City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forfar Athletic 0 8.7% 10.0% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 32.7%

Vtot 22 , Vtod1