League Two — Scotland
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • The Vanloq Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.47) 1.87 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 22.6% 49.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Dumbarton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartans 0 4.2% 7.9% 7.4% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.5% 10.2% 9.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.5% 6.6% 6.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartansDumbarton
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack32%42%
Defense63%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartans Dumbarton
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%67%56%33%33%33%
Draws11%33%22%11%33%22%
Loses44%0%22%56%33%44%

Form: Spartans: WLWWWWLWLWWDDLDDWW • Dumbarton: WWDWLWDLDLLWLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Spartans Dumbarton
HATHAT
GF total81927121729
GF avg0.92.11.51.31.91.6
GA total12921151934
GA avg1.31.01.21.72.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartansDumbarton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%94%94%
1.539%22%44%61%
2.522%11%17%22%
3.50%6%6%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartansDumbarton
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricSpartansDumbarton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSpartansDumbarton
Wins42
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-03-4
Biggest losses0-4—1-43-1
Goals For2324
Goals Against4244

Model comparison

MetricSpartansDumbarton
Form67%33%
Att43%57%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : Spartans or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away4.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Spartans = 1.29 (league 1.47), Dumbarton = 1.87 (league 1.32)

Dumbarton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartans 0 4.2% 7.9% 7.4% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.5% 10.2% 9.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.5% 6.6% 6.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 49.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1