League Two — Scotland
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • Marbill Coaches Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.48) 1.73 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 23.7% 48.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Stranraer
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 5.2% 9.0% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.0% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.8% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDumbartonStranraer
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack26%26%
Defense74%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dumbarton Stranraer
HATHAT
Played131427131326
Wins31%21%26%23%38%31%
Draws23%29%26%38%31%35%
Loses46%50%48%38%31%35%

Form: Dumbarton: WWDWLWDLDLLWLLLWDLLDLLLLDDW • Stranraer: LLLDLLDWLWWDLWWWDDDDWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Dumbarton Stranraer
HATHAT
GF total181937152035
GF avg1.41.41.41.21.51.3
GA total192847181735
GA avg1.52.01.71.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDumbartonStranraer
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%89%77%85%
1.537%59%38%35%
2.515%19%15%12%
3.54%7%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDumbartonStranraer
HATHAT
Clean sheets303134
Failed to score145336

Penalties

MetricDumbartonStranraer
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricDumbartonStranraer
Wins23
Draws24
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-43-10-4
Biggest losses1-43-11-34-1
Goals For3434
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricDumbartonStranraer
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals31%69%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stranraer

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away2.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dumbarton = 1.23 (league 1.48), Stranraer = 1.73 (league 1.30)

Stranraer
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dumbarton 0 5.2% 9.0% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.0% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.8% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 48.2%

vtt 7 , vtd1