League Two — Scotland
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Stair Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.47) 1.18 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 27.0% 33.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.9%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Elgin City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stranraer 0 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.9% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.4% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStranraerElgin City
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack64%82%
Defense64%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stranraer Elgin City
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins25%42%33%46%9%29%
Draws42%33%38%15%55%33%
Loses33%25%29%38%36%38%

Form: Stranraer: LLLDLLDWLWWDLWWWDDDDWDDW • Elgin City: LLDLDWDLWLWWWDDLLLDDDLWW

League goals

Metric Stranraer Elgin City
HATHAT
GF total141933231336
GF avg1.21.61.41.81.21.5
GA total161329211839
GA avg1.31.11.21.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStranraerElgin City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%83%75%
1.542%29%50%38%
2.517%8%17%29%
3.54%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStranraerElgin City
HATHAT
Clean sheets134516
Failed to score336134

Penalties

MetricStranraerElgin City
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricStranraerElgin City
Wins33
Draws43
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-01-3
Biggest losses1-33-11-63-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against3364

Model comparison

MetricStranraerElgin City
Form53%47%
Att44%56%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Stranraer or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.26 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stranraer = 1.31 (league 1.47), Elgin City = 1.18 (league 1.32)

Elgin City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stranraer 0 8.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.9% 12.8% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.4% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 33.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1