Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton

League Two — Scotland

Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 • Meadowbank Sports Centre

Not Started

Edinburgh City

—

Dumbarton

Expected Goals

1.51 (league 1.51) 2.24 (league 1.29)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
25.3%	20.2%	51.4%

best score tips

1 - 2

8.9%

1 - 1

8.0%

2 - 2

6.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Dumbarton
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Edinburgh City	0	2.4%	5.3%	5.9%	4.4%	2.5%	1.1%
	1	3.6%	8.0%	8.9%	6.6%	3.7%	1.7%
	2	2.7%	6.0%	6.7%	5.0%	2.8%	1.3%
	3	1.4%	3.0%	3.4%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
	4	0.5%	1.1%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
	5	0.2%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Edinburgh City -46.2, Dumbarton -5.9.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Edinburgh City Elo 1392.8 · -46.2

Dumbarton Elo 1443.3 · -5.9

Elo gapDumbarton +16

Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%

Expected home share48%

Combined Elo2836.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2836.1

Elo home share 48%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Edinburgh City	Dumbarton
Overall Elo	1392.8	1443.3
Form Elo	1358.8	1456.6
Home / Away Elo	1457.5	1473.5
Attack Elo	1376	1439
Defense Elo	1270.1	1383.5
Last 5 Elo change	-46.2	-5.9

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Edinburgh City last-5 Elo change: -46.2; Dumbarton last-5 Elo change: -5.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Edinburgh City	Dumbarton
Played	5	5
Form	0%	33%
Attack	0%	38%
Defense	0%	46%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	14 \| 2.8	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%

FT probability

2.5+

64%

FT probability

3.5+

46%

FT probability

BTTS

79%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Edinburgh City			Dumbarton
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	17	18	35	18	17	35
Wins	12%	39%	26%	39%	18%	29%
Draws	29%	22%	26%	22%	35%	29%
Loses	59%	39%	49%	39%	47%	43%

Edinburgh CityLWDWWDLDWLWLDDWLWLDLDWLDLLDWLLLLLLL

DumbartonWWDWLWDLDLLWLLLWDLLDLLLLDDWWDWDDWLL

League goals

Metric	Edinburgh City			Dumbarton
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	21	19	40	26	21	47
GF avg	1.2	1.1	1.1	1.4	1.2	1.3
GA total	40	32	72	24	32	56
GA avg	2.4	1.8	2.1	1.3	1.9	1.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Edinburgh City		Dumbarton
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	66%	89%	80%	89%
1.5	29%	63%	40%	51%
2.5	11%	37%	11%	14%
3.5	9%	14%	3%	6%
4.5	0%	3%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Edinburgh City			Dumbarton
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	3	4	4	0	4
Failed to score	5	7	12	2	5	7

Penalties

Metric	Edinburgh City	Dumbarton
Scored (total \| %)	8 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	8	2

Streaks

Metric	Edinburgh City	Dumbarton
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	2-4	3-0	3-4
Biggest losses	1-4	5-0	1-4	3-1
Goals For	4	4	3	4
Goals Against	4	5	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Edinburgh City	Dumbarton
Form	0%	100%
Att	0%	100%
Def	33%	67%
Poisson Distribution	43%	57%
H2h	93%	7%
Goals	65%	35%
Total	58.5%	41.5%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ Betfair

Draw6.50 @ Betfair

Away1.29 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Betano

Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betano

No1.96 @ 1xBet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton

Metric	Edinburgh City	Dumbarton
Scored (total \| %)	8 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	8	2