Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 15:00 • Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.48) 1.43 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 26.6% 46.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Hegelmann II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minija 0 8.7% 12.4% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.4% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMinijaHegelmann II
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack40%33%
Defense53%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Minija Hegelmann II
HATHAT
Played101323131023
Wins30%38%35%38%20%30%
Draws10%15%13%8%40%22%
Loses60%46%52%54%40%48%

Form: Minija: LLLWWLLWWWLDLLDLWLWLLDW • Hegelmann II: DDWLLDWDLLLLWLWWDWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Minija Hegelmann II
HATHAT
GF total101020171330
GF avg1.00.80.91.31.31.3
GA total171734241539
GA avg1.71.31.51.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMinijaHegelmann II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%74%74%87%
1.522%35%30%48%
2.54%26%17%13%
3.50%13%9%13%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMinijaHegelmann II
HATHAT
Clean sheets246213
Failed to score369336

Penalties

MetricMinijaHegelmann II
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMinijaHegelmann II
Wins32
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-10-3
Biggest losses0-44-00-52-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricMinijaHegelmann II
Form70%30%
Att55%45%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Minija or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Unibet
Draw4.40 @ Betfair
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Minija = 1.01 (league 1.48), Hegelmann II = 1.43 (league 1.55)

Hegelmann II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Minija 0 8.7% 12.4% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.6% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.4% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1