Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • Raudondvario stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.48) 1.86 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 22.6% 49.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Žalgiris II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hegelmann II 0 4.2% 7.8% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.5% 10.2% 9.5% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.7% 6.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHegelmann IIŽalgiris II
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack38%31%
Defense15%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hegelmann II Žalgiris II
HATHAT
Played131124121224
Wins38%18%29%50%33%42%
Draws8%36%21%17%33%25%
Loses54%45%50%33%33%33%

Form: Hegelmann II: DDWLLDWDLLLLWLWWDWLLLWLL • Žalgiris II: DDLLWWDWWWWWWDLWLDDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Hegelmann II Žalgiris II
HATHAT
GF total171330241943
GF avg1.31.21.32.01.61.8
GA total241741221840
GA avg1.81.51.71.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHegelmann IIŽalgiris II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%83%88%
1.529%50%50%46%
2.517%13%29%21%
3.58%13%17%8%
4.50%8%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHegelmann IIŽalgiris II
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score347134

Penalties

MetricHegelmann IIŽalgiris II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 87.50%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 12.50%
Total18

Streaks

MetricHegelmann IIŽalgiris II
Wins26
Draws22
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-11-4
Biggest losses0-52-02-45-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against5445

Model comparison

MetricHegelmann IIŽalgiris II
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%100%
Goals43%57%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Žalgiris II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away2.14 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Marathonbet
No2.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hegelmann II = 1.31 (league 1.48), Žalgiris II = 1.86 (league 1.55)

Žalgiris II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hegelmann II 0 4.2% 7.8% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.5% 10.2% 9.5% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.7% 6.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.6% 2.9% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 49.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1