1 Lyga — Lithuania
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 • Vytauto stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.48) 0.61 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.8% 25.3% 14.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
13.9%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atmosfera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tauras 0 11.6% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 10.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTaurasAtmosfera
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack53%63%
Defense68%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tauras Atmosfera
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins75%54%64%38%50%44%
Draws17%31%24%23%8%16%
Loses8%15%12%38%42%40%

Form: Tauras: WDWWWWDDWWDWDWLWWWDWWWLLW • Atmosfera: WDLWLLLLDLDWLWLWDWWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Tauras Atmosfera
HATHAT
GF total282250271441
GF avg2.31.72.02.11.21.6
GA total9918191231
GA avg0.80.70.71.51.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTaurasAtmosfera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%56%76%76%
1.564%8%40%28%
2.528%4%24%12%
3.512%4%16%8%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTaurasAtmosfera
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511336
Failed to score134246

Penalties

MetricTaurasAtmosfera
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricTaurasAtmosfera
Wins44
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-55-01-3
Biggest losses1-41-01-43-0
Goals For6553
Goals Against4243

Model comparison

MetricTaurasAtmosfera
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h88%13%
Goals63%38%
Total62.0%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Tauras or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Unibet
Draw4.25 @ Pinnacle
Away5.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Unibet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tauras = 1.55 (league 1.48), Atmosfera = 0.61 (league 1.58)

Atmosfera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tauras 0 11.6% 7.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 10.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 14.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1