1 Lyga — Lithuania
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 • Sirvintu stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.48) 0.38 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.1% 11.2% 3.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.1%
3 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Hegelmann II
0 1 2 3 4 5
TransINVEST Vilnius 0 5.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.0% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.8% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTransINVEST VilniusHegelmann II
Played55
Form100%27%
Attack68%26%
Defense84%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric TransINVEST Vilnius Hegelmann II
HATHAT
Played121325141125
Wins83%92%88%36%18%28%
Draws8%0%4%14%36%24%
Loses8%8%8%50%45%48%

Form: TransINVEST Vilnius: WWWWLWWWWWWWWWWWWDWLWWWWW • Hegelmann II: DDWLLDWDLLLLWLWWDWLLLWLLD

League goals

Metric TransINVEST Vilnius Hegelmann II
HATHAT
GF total314071181331
GF avg2.63.12.81.31.21.2
GA total61319251742
GA avg0.51.00.81.81.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTransINVEST VilniusHegelmann II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%48%72%88%
1.576%20%28%48%
2.552%8%16%12%
3.528%0%8%12%
4.516%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTransINVEST VilniusHegelmann II
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513213
Failed to score000347

Penalties

MetricTransINVEST VilniusHegelmann II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricTransINVEST VilniusHegelmann II
Wins122
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-54-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-52-0
Goals For7643
Goals Against3354

Model comparison

MetricTransINVEST VilniusHegelmann II
Form79%21%
Att72%28%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Winner : TransINVEST Vilnius

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw13.00 @ 1xBet
Away35.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): TransINVEST Vilnius = 2.63 (league 1.48), Hegelmann II = 0.38 (league 1.58)

Hegelmann II
0 1 2 3 4 5
TransINVEST Vilnius 0 5.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.0% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.8% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.1% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 3.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1