Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 15:00 • Jonavos centrinis stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.48) 1.35 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.0% 28.2% 52.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hegelmann II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Be1 NFA 0 13.0% 17.6% 11.9% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.1% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBe1 NFAHegelmann II
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack47%24%
Defense76%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Be1 NFA Hegelmann II
HATHAT
Played121426141226
Wins0%36%19%36%17%27%
Draws42%7%23%14%33%23%
Loses58%57%58%50%50%50%

Form: Be1 NFA: DLDLLLLWLLDWLWDLLLLLLDLWDW • Hegelmann II: DDWLLDWDLLLLWLWWDWLLLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Be1 NFA Hegelmann II
HATHAT
GF total71724181331
GF avg0.61.20.91.31.11.2
GA total232447252045
GA avg1.91.71.81.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBe1 NFAHegelmann II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%81%69%88%
1.519%50%27%50%
2.512%31%15%15%
3.58%15%8%12%
4.50%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBe1 NFAHegelmann II
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score5712358

Penalties

MetricBe1 NFAHegelmann II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricBe1 NFAHegelmann II
Wins12
Draws12
Losses64

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-44-10-3
Biggest losses1-54-00-53-0
Goals For1443
Goals Against5454

Model comparison

MetricBe1 NFAHegelmann II
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h100%0%
Goals78%22%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Be1 NFA or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Be1 NFA = 0.69 (league 1.48), Hegelmann II = 1.35 (league 1.55)

Hegelmann II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Be1 NFA 0 13.0% 17.6% 11.9% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.1% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 52.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1