1 Lyga — Lithuania
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:00 • Jonavos centrinis stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.48) 0.76 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 38.6% 35.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.4%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atmosfera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jonava 0 25.4% 19.4% 7.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 11.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJonavaAtmosfera
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack50%61%
Defense89%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jonava Atmosfera
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%50%41%43%46%44%
Draws38%21%30%21%15%19%
Loses31%29%30%36%38%37%

Form: Jonava: LLDLLDWWLWLDWDDLDWDWWLWWWDW • Atmosfera: WDLWLLLLDLDWLWLWDWWWWLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Jonava Atmosfera
HATHAT
GF total131326311445
GF avg1.00.91.02.21.11.7
GA total14721201232
GA avg1.10.50.81.40.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJonavaAtmosfera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%74%74%
1.530%19%41%26%
2.57%0%26%11%
3.50%0%19%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJonavaAtmosfera
HATHAT
Clean sheets3811347
Failed to score4711257

Penalties

MetricJonavaAtmosfera
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricJonavaAtmosfera
Wins34
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-01-43-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricJonavaAtmosfera
Form57%43%
Att45%55%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h80%20%
Goals80%20%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Jonava or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Unibet
No2.04 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jonava = 0.61 (league 1.48), Atmosfera = 0.76 (league 1.58)

Atmosfera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jonava 0 25.4% 19.4% 7.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 11.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1