1 Lyga — Lithuania
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 12:30 • Vytauto stadionas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.48) 0.68 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.2% 14.5% 7.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hegelmann II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tauras 0 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTaurasHegelmann II
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack100%56%
Defense56%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tauras Hegelmann II
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%60%62%33%21%28%
Draws21%27%24%13%29%21%
Loses14%13%14%53%50%52%

Form: Tauras: WDWWWWDDWWDWDWLWWWDWWWLLWDWLW • Hegelmann II: DDWLLDWDLLLLWLWWDWLLLWLLDLWLL

League goals

Metric Tauras Hegelmann II
HATHAT
GF total302656181735
GF avg2.11.71.91.21.21.2
GA total121022262551
GA avg0.90.70.81.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTaurasHegelmann II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%55%69%90%
1.562%10%28%48%
2.528%7%17%17%
3.510%3%7%14%
4.57%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTaurasHegelmann II
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613213
Failed to score235459

Penalties

MetricTaurasHegelmann II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricTaurasHegelmann II
Wins42
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-54-10-3
Biggest losses1-41-00-54-1
Goals For6543
Goals Against4254

Model comparison

MetricTaurasHegelmann II
Form71%29%
Att69%31%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Winner : Tauras

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ Betano
Draw7.97 @ Pinnacle
Away15.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Unibet
No1.67 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tauras = 2.55 (league 1.48), Hegelmann II = 0.68 (league 1.58)

Hegelmann II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tauras 0 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.2% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 7.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1