HNL — Croatia
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • ŠRC Velika Gorica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.37) 0.92 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 21.9% 17.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 0
10.8%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
NK Slaven Belupo
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 6.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.4% 10.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK GoricaNK Slaven Belupo
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack58%67%
Defense42%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Gorica NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
Played066336
Wins—33%33%67%33%50%
Draws—33%33%0%0%0%
Loses—33%33%33%67%50%

Form: HNK Gorica: DLWDLW • NK Slaven Belupo: LWLLWW

League goals

Metric HNK Gorica NK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
GF total088628
GF avg0.01.31.32.00.71.3
GA total0884610
GA avg0.01.31.31.32.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK GoricaNK Slaven Belupo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%100%
1.550%33%50%50%
2.517%0%17%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK GoricaNK Slaven Belupo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricHNK GoricaNK Slaven Belupo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHNK GoricaNK Slaven Belupo
Wins11
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-11-2
Biggest losses—2-01-23-0
Goals For0332
Goals Against0223

Model comparison

MetricHNK GoricaNK Slaven Belupo
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals24%76%
Total37.6%62.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Slaven Belupo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 188Bet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Gorica = 1.90 (league 1.37), NK Slaven Belupo = 0.92 (league 0.99)

NK Slaven Belupo
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 6.0% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.4% 10.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1