HNLCroatia
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 17:15 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.38) 0.52 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 44.9% 26.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.3%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
18.0%
Score & goals probability table
NK Osijek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 34.3% 18.0% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 9.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack42%42%
Defense33%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 NK Osijek
HATHAT
Played246426
Wins50%0%17%25%0%17%
Draws50%25%33%25%100%50%
Loses0%75%50%50%0%33%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWL • NK Osijek: LDDLDW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 NK Osijek
HATHAT
GF total336415
GF avg1.50.81.01.00.50.8
GA total2810415
GA avg1.02.01.71.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961NK Osijek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%33%50%
1.517%67%17%33%
2.50%17%17%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score011314

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
Wins10
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-04-0
Biggest losses3-00-2
Goals For2141
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961NK Osijek
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h85%15%
Goals60%40%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Istra 1961 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 188Bet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 0.54 (league 1.38), NK Osijek = 0.52 (league 0.95)

NK Osijek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 34.3% 18.0% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 9.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 44.9% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1