HNLCroatia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 18:00 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.38) 2.04 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 21.4% 49.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 3.0% 6.2% 6.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
1 4.4% 9.0% 9.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.5% 3.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack50%50%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Varazdin
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins33%33%33%25%50%33%
Draws33%67%50%75%0%50%
Loses33%0%17%0%50%17%

Form: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDD • NK Varazdin: DLDWDW

League goals

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Varazdin
HATHAT
GF total358538
GF avg1.01.71.31.31.51.3
GA total448347
GA avg1.31.31.30.82.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%83%67%
1.533%33%50%33%
2.50%17%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Varazdin
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: No predictions available

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.45 (league 1.38), NK Varazdin = 2.04 (league 0.95)

NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 3.0% 6.2% 6.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
1 4.4% 9.0% 9.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.5% 3.2% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 49.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1