HNL — Croatia
Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Cibalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.37) 1.71 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.8% 23.9% 54.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vukovar 0 7.0% 11.9% 10.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack33%33%
Defense0%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vukovar HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins0%0%0%25%0%17%
Draws67%0%33%25%100%50%
Loses33%100%67%50%0%33%

Form: Vukovar: LLDDLL • HNK Rijeka: WDLLDD

League goals

Metric Vukovar HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
GF total404426
GF avg1.30.00.71.01.01.0
GA total5813527
GA avg1.72.72.21.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVukovarHNK Rijeka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%67%67%
1.517%67%33%50%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
Wins01
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses1-24-00-2—
Goals For2022
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricVukovarHNK Rijeka
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Rijeka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.00 @ Betfair
Draw5.10 @ Pinnacle
Away1.51 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ SBO
Under 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vukovar = 0.95 (league 1.37), HNK Rijeka = 1.71 (league 0.99)

HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vukovar 0 7.0% 11.9% 10.2% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 54.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1