HNL — Croatia
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:45 • Stadion Poljud
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.44) 1.70 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 22.9% 39.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 3.6% 6.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.8% 9.9% 8.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.6% 4.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack47%40%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Hajduk Split NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Played527437
Wins60%50%57%50%33%43%
Draws20%0%14%25%67%43%
Loses20%50%29%25%0%14%

Form: HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLL • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDW

League goals

Metric HNK Hajduk Split NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total9211459
GF avg1.81.01.61.01.71.3
GA total527448
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%100%71%
1.571%43%29%29%
2.514%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Wins41
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-3—
Goals For3212
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Form47%53%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away8.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Hajduk Split = 1.63 (league 1.44), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.70 (league 1.00)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Hajduk Split 0 3.6% 6.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.8% 9.9% 8.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.6% 4.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 39.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1