HNL — Croatia
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 • Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.39) 0.73 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.9% 26.9% 18.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
NK Osijek
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 11.4% 8.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK GoricaNK Osijek
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack69%46%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Gorica NK Osijek
HATHAT
Played167437
Wins100%33%43%25%0%14%
Draws0%33%29%25%67%43%
Loses0%33%29%50%33%43%

Form: HNK Gorica: DLWDLWW • NK Osijek: LDDLDWL

League goals

Metric HNK Gorica NK Osijek
HATHAT
GF total2810426
GF avg2.01.31.41.00.70.9
GA total189437
GA avg1.01.31.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK GoricaNK Osijek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%43%57%
1.557%29%14%43%
2.514%0%14%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK GoricaNK Osijek
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score022314

Penalties

MetricHNK GoricaNK Osijek
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHNK GoricaNK Osijek
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-0—
Biggest losses—2-00-22-1
Goals For2341
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricHNK GoricaNK Osijek
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals36%64%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Gorica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Marathonbet
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Gorica = 1.44 (league 1.39), NK Osijek = 0.73 (league 0.97)

NK Osijek
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 11.4% 8.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 18.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1