HNLCroatia
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion HNK Rijeka
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.38) 1.09 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 26.2% 28.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Istra 1961
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Rijeka 0 7.9% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.5% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.0% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK RijekaIstra 1961
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack40%33%
Defense33%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Rijeka Istra 1961
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins25%0%14%67%0%29%
Draws25%67%43%33%25%29%
Loses50%33%43%0%75%43%

Form: HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDL • Istra 1961: LDDLWLW

League goals

Metric HNK Rijeka Istra 1961
HATHAT
GF total448538
GF avg1.01.31.11.70.81.1
GA total55103811
GA avg1.31.71.41.02.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK RijekaIstra 1961
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%86%86%
1.543%57%29%57%
2.50%14%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK RijekaIstra 1961
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricHNK RijekaIstra 1961
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHNK RijekaIstra 1961
Wins11
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-1
Biggest losses0-23-23-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricHNK RijekaIstra 1961
Form22%78%
Att55%45%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Rijeka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): HNK Rijeka = 1.45 (league 1.38), Istra 1961 = 1.09 (league 0.95)

Istra 1961
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Rijeka 0 7.9% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.5% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.0% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 28.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1