HNLCroatia
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • Gradski stadion Varazdin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.38) 0.84 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 15.5% 10.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
9.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Vukovar
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 3.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK VarazdinVukovar
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack43%50%
Defense71%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Varazdin Vukovar
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%33%29%25%0%14%
Draws75%0%43%50%0%29%
Loses0%67%29%25%100%57%

Form: NK Varazdin: DLDWDWL • Vukovar: LLDDLLW

League goals

Metric NK Varazdin Vukovar
HATHAT
GF total538707
GF avg1.31.01.11.80.01.0
GA total3587815
GA avg0.81.71.11.82.72.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK VarazdinVukovar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%57%100%
1.543%29%29%71%
2.50%14%14%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK VarazdinVukovar
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricNK VarazdinVukovar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNK VarazdinVukovar
Wins10
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-2
Biggest losses3-11-24-0
Goals For2230
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricNK VarazdinVukovar
Form62%38%
Att46%54%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : NK Varazdin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ William Hill
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away6.34 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Varazdin = 2.55 (league 1.38), Vukovar = 0.84 (league 0.95)

Vukovar
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Varazdin 0 3.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1