HNLCroatia
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.38) 1.05 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 20.4% 18.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.5%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 4.3% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 9.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack36%73%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 NK Varazdin
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins67%0%25%40%33%38%
Draws33%40%38%60%0%38%
Loses0%60%38%0%67%25%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWD • NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 NK Varazdin
HATHAT
GF total5387310
GF avg1.70.61.01.41.01.3
GA total3811459
GA avg1.01.61.40.81.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961NK Varazdin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%75%
1.525%50%50%25%
2.50%13%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-01-2
Biggest losses3-03-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
Form41%59%
Att33%67%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Istra 1961 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 2.10 (league 1.38), NK Varazdin = 1.05 (league 0.95)

NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 4.3% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 9.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 18.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1