HNL — Croatia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:45 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.37) 2.02 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.7% 17.4% 75.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.8%
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 3
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 9.3% 18.6% 18.8% 12.6% 6.4% 2.6%
1 3.4% 6.8% 6.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
2 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack45%100%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%75%75%75%
Draws25%50%38%0%25%13%
Loses25%25%25%25%0%13%

Form: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWL • Dinamo Zagreb: WWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total45911819
GF avg1.01.31.12.82.02.4
GA total4610325
GA avg1.01.51.30.80.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%100%38%
1.525%38%88%25%
2.50%13%38%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets202235
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
Wins14
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-10-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-2—
Goals For1242
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
Form44%56%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Winner : Dinamo Zagreb

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ William Hill
Draw4.85 @ 188Bet
Away1.41 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 0.37 (league 1.37), Dinamo Zagreb = 2.02 (league 0.99)

Dinamo Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 9.3% 18.6% 18.8% 12.6% 6.4% 2.6%
1 3.4% 6.8% 6.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
2 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 75.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1