HNL — Croatia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:15 • Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.37) 1.37 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.9% 26.9% 42.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 8.5% 11.6% 8.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK GoricaNK Varazdin
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack36%43%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Gorica NK Varazdin
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins33%33%33%40%25%33%
Draws0%33%22%60%0%33%
Loses67%33%44%0%75%33%

Form: HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLL • NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLWL

League goals

Metric HNK Gorica NK Varazdin
HATHAT
GF total38117310
GF avg1.01.31.21.40.81.1
GA total58134610
GA avg1.71.31.40.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK GoricaNK Varazdin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%78%
1.544%33%44%22%
2.511%11%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK GoricaNK Varazdin
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricHNK GoricaNK Varazdin
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricHNK GoricaNK Varazdin
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-32-0—3-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricHNK GoricaNK Varazdin
Form46%54%
Att45%55%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h36%64%
Goals44%56%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Varazdin

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Gorica = 1.10 (league 1.37), NK Varazdin = 1.37 (league 0.99)

NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 8.5% 11.6% 8.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 42.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1