HNL — Croatia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.43) 0.80 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 36.3% 33.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.6%
0 - 1
17.2%
1 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Hajduk Split
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 21.6% 17.2% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.9% 12.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack36%36%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
Played459639
Wins75%0%33%67%67%67%
Draws25%40%33%17%0%11%
Loses0%60%33%17%33%22%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDW • HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLLWW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
GF total63911314
GF avg1.50.61.01.81.01.6
GA total3811527
GA avg0.81.61.20.80.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%78%44%
1.522%44%67%33%
2.50%11%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Wins14
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-00-2
Biggest losses—3-00-22-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961HNK Hajduk Split
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Istra 1961 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 0.74 (league 1.43), HNK Hajduk Split = 0.80 (league 1.01)

HNK Hajduk Split
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 21.6% 17.2% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.9% 12.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1