HNL — Croatia
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:30 • Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.44) 2.34 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 19.4% 41.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 2
6.8%
2 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Slaven Belupo 0 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5%
2 2.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack62%62%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Slaven Belupo HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%20%44%20%25%22%
Draws0%0%0%40%50%44%
Loses25%80%56%40%25%33%

Form: NK Slaven Belupo: LWLLWWLLW • HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDLDW

League goals

Metric NK Slaven Belupo HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
GF total84124711
GF avg2.00.81.30.81.81.2
GA total512175611
GA avg1.32.41.91.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%100%67%67%
1.544%56%44%44%
2.511%22%11%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka
Wins21
Draws02
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-23-2
Goals For3223
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricNK Slaven BelupoHNK Rijeka
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Rijeka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NK Slaven Belupo = 2.09 (league 1.44), HNK Rijeka = 2.34 (league 1.00)

HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Slaven Belupo 0 1.2% 2.8% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.5% 5.8% 6.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5%
2 2.6% 6.1% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.1%
4 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 41.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1