HNLCroatia
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion HNK Cibalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.38) 2.18 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 20.5% 50.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vukovar 0 2.5% 5.4% 5.8% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
1 3.7% 8.2% 8.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2%
3 1.5% 3.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack42%42%
Defense8%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vukovar NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%0%11%60%25%44%
Draws40%0%22%20%50%33%
Loses40%100%67%20%25%22%

Form: Vukovar: LLDDLLWLL • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLW

League goals

Metric Vukovar NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total7186511
GF avg1.40.30.91.21.31.2
GA total810185611
GA avg1.62.52.01.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%100%89%78%
1.522%67%33%33%
2.511%22%0%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Wins11
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-11-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-32-0
Goals For3122
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricVukovarNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Form27%73%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.03 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vukovar = 1.53 (league 1.38), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 2.18 (league 0.95)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vukovar 0 2.5% 5.4% 5.8% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
1 3.7% 8.2% 8.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2%
3 1.5% 3.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 50.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1