HNL — Croatia
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 16:00 • Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.39) 3.11 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.2% 7.7% 80.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
15.6%
0 - 2
15.1%
0 - 4
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Hajduk Split
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 3.1% 9.7% 15.1% 15.6% 12.1% 7.5%
1 1.1% 3.5% 5.4% 5.6% 4.4% 2.7%
2 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack43%43%
Defense36%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Gorica HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins25%33%30%67%75%70%
Draws0%33%20%17%0%10%
Loses75%33%50%17%25%20%

Form: HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLL • HNK Hajduk Split: WWWWDLLWWW

League goals

Metric HNK Gorica HNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
GF total481211617
GF avg1.01.31.21.81.51.7
GA total8816527
GA avg2.01.31.60.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%100%80%40%
1.540%40%70%30%
2.510%20%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
HATHAT
Clean sheets000336
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricHNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricHNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
Wins24
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-22-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricHNK GoricaHNK Hajduk Split
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Hajduk Split

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Superbet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Gorica = 0.36 (league 1.39), HNK Hajduk Split = 3.11 (league 0.97)

HNK Hajduk Split
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 3.1% 9.7% 15.1% 15.6% 12.1% 7.5%
1 1.1% 3.5% 5.4% 5.6% 4.4% 2.7%
2 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 7.7% · Away win 80.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1