HNL — Croatia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:45 • Stadion Maksimir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.44) 0.60 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 28.6% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Istra 1961
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 14.4% 8.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 11.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack31%25%
Defense69%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Istra 1961
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%60%0%30%
Draws20%60%40%20%40%30%
Loses20%20%20%20%60%40%

Form: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWD • Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWL

League goals

Metric NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Istra 1961
HATHAT
GF total6612639
GF avg1.21.21.21.20.60.9
GA total57126814
GA avg1.01.41.21.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%70%70%
1.530%30%20%50%
2.50%10%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
Wins11
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-1—
Biggest losses1-32-00-33-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricNK Lokomotiva ZagrebIstra 1961
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Istra 1961 and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Dafabet
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away3.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 1.33 (league 1.44), Istra 1961 = 0.60 (league 0.99)

Istra 1961
0 1 2 3 4 5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0 14.4% 8.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 11.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.7% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1