HNL — Croatia
Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 15:30 • Stadion HNK Rijeka
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.39) 0.81 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.3% 36.7% 35.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.3%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
NK Osijek
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Rijeka 0 22.3% 18.0% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 12.5% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK RijekaNK Osijek
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack39%44%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Rijeka NK Osijek
HATHAT
Played55104610
Wins20%20%20%25%17%20%
Draws40%60%50%25%33%30%
Loses40%20%30%50%50%50%

Form: HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDLDWD • NK Osijek: LDDLDWLWLL

League goals

Metric HNK Rijeka NK Osijek
HATHAT
GF total4812459
GF avg0.81.61.21.00.80.9
GA total57124711
GA avg1.01.41.21.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK RijekaNK Osijek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%60%60%
1.540%40%10%50%
2.510%10%10%0%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK RijekaNK Osijek
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score213314

Penalties

MetricHNK RijekaNK Osijek
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHNK RijekaNK Osijek
Wins11
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-20-22-1
Goals For2341
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricHNK RijekaNK Osijek
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total53.5%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : HNK Rijeka or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Dafabet
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Rijeka = 0.69 (league 1.39), NK Osijek = 0.81 (league 0.99)

NK Osijek
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Rijeka 0 22.3% 18.0% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 12.5% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.3% · Draw 36.7% · Away win 35.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1