HNL — Croatia
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Stadion Maksimir
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.39) 1.29 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.9% 17.1% 16.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Zagreb 0 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.2% 6.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack50%56%
Defense72%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dinamo Zagreb HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%50%64%33%20%27%
Draws0%17%9%33%60%45%
Loses20%33%27%33%20%27%

Form: Dinamo Zagreb: WWWWDLWWLWL • HNK Rijeka: WDLLDDLDWDW

League goals

Metric Dinamo Zagreb HNK Rijeka
HATHAT
GF total139228816
GF avg2.61.52.01.31.61.5
GA total4597714
GA avg0.80.80.81.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%55%73%73%
1.573%27%45%45%
2.527%0%18%9%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Wins41
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-21-3
Biggest losses1-22-10-23-2
Goals For4243
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricDinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals44%56%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Dinamo Zagreb or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ Marathonbet
Away8.70 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Betano
Under 2.52.00 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dinamo Zagreb = 2.63 (league 1.39), HNK Rijeka = 1.29 (league 0.99)

HNK Rijeka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dinamo Zagreb 0 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 5.2% 6.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1