HNL — Croatia
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 17:00 • Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.39) 2.73 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 15.1% 67.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 2
8.8%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 2.4% 6.5% 8.8% 8.1% 5.5% 3.0%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.9% 8.1% 5.6% 3.0%
2 1.2% 3.3% 4.5% 4.1% 2.8% 1.5%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack83%83%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Gorica NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%50%20%36%
Draws0%33%18%17%60%36%
Loses80%33%55%33%20%27%

Form: HNK Gorica: DLWDLWWLLLL • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: WDLWDDWLWDL

League goals

Metric HNK Gorica NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
GF total58137613
GF avg1.01.31.21.21.21.2
GA total118197714
GA avg2.21.31.71.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%91%82%
1.536%45%27%36%
2.59%27%0%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricHNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricHNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-11-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-32-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricHNK GoricaNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Gorica = 1.01 (league 1.39), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb = 2.73 (league 0.97)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Gorica 0 2.4% 6.5% 8.8% 8.1% 5.5% 3.0%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.9% 8.1% 5.6% 3.0%
2 1.2% 3.3% 4.5% 4.1% 2.8% 1.5%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 67.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1