HNL — Croatia
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:45 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.39) 0.37 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 15.7% 5.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.5%
1 - 0
17.1%
3 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vukovar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 7.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.1% 6.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.5% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961Vukovar
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack28%33%
Defense72%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 Vukovar
HATHAT
Played56117411
Wins60%17%36%29%0%18%
Draws20%33%27%43%0%27%
Loses20%50%36%29%100%55%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLW • Vukovar: LLDDLLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 Vukovar
HATHAT
GF total65119110
GF avg1.20.81.01.30.30.9
GA total691591019
GA avg1.21.51.41.32.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961Vukovar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%64%91%
1.527%45%18%55%
2.50%18%9%18%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961Vukovar
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961Vukovar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961Vukovar
Wins11
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-2—
Biggest losses0-33-01-24-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961Vukovar
Form59%41%
Att45%55%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Istra 1961 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away6.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 2.16 (league 1.39), Vukovar = 0.37 (league 0.97)

Vukovar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 7.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.1% 6.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.5% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 5.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1